SPX Daily Outlook 09/30/2019
SPX Market Forecast
Close of the day for SPX should be above 2967
1st Target High 2974
2nd Target high 2981
3rd Target high 2987
These are the key levels we will be watching in our trading today.
SPX Trading Strategy
We plan to Buy to Open .SPXW190930C2970 (SPX Quarterly Option: call, Strike: 2970 Expiration: 09/30/19) at limit price of 8.3, looking to enter after 9:35 a.m. EST.
We will be looking for about a 90% profit and using about a 70% stop along with using our target price levels in the SPX above.
SPY Market Forecast
Close of the day for SPY should be above 295.5
1st Target High 296.5
2nd Target high 297
3rd Target high 297.5
SPY Trading Strategy
We plan to Buy to Open .SPY190930C297 (SPY Quarterly Option: call, Strike: 297 Expiration: 09/30/19) at limit price of 0.6, looking to enter after 9:35 a.m. EST.
We will be looking for about a 90% profit and using about a 70% stop along with using our target price levels in the SPY above.
Trading Guidelines
We normally wait till 9:35 a.m. EST to enter our trade, and most often enter the trade at a much lower price than our limit shared above. If market is moving fast in the right direction and approaching our limit, we normally enter the trade early. If the market is clearly heading in the opposite direction of our forecast, we will often delay entry until it turns. We will not enter any trade after 10:30 a.m. EST. Each trader must pick their own exits based on risk tolerance and market conditions. We often employ a trailing stop when our profit goals are hit or price targets are reached.
We use these levels as guidelines for our exit strategy. Once a level is hit, we watch very carefully and will often exit if market starts to reverse course off of these levels.
Our percentage stops and targets are guidelines for our trading. If the stop is near a level of support/resistance we will most often give it a little room. Also be aware that the market has a tendency to close the gap. This means that often it will move towards the previous day’s close and that can be a very strong support/resistance line. So be aware of the previous day’s close and any support/resistance levels by looking at 15 min chart for past 5 days.
Possible Support/Resistance Levels
Possible SPX support/resistance levels: 2964, 2959, 2953, 2947
Possible SPY support/resistance levels: 295.5, 295, 294.25, 293.75
Make it a profitable day!
SPX Option Trader